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Economic Development and the Root Causes of Migration
Irregular migration from Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador to the United States is deeply rooted in a lack of economic opportunity, high levels of violence and citizen insecurity, an increase in climate volatility and a desire for family reunification. Structural impediments and stagnant economic growth do not aid in fulfilling the need for the number of quality formal jobs that the region’s growing labor force requires. Investments in education, health care and transportation infrastructure are needed to promote economic development, in addition to vocational and job training to develop a more skilled workforce.
This situation stems from a variety of structural factors, including low levels of private sector investment, low labor productivity and a lack of skilled workers, high levels of labor informality, and challenges in promoting the rule of law, sound governance, and legal certainty.
Governments, companies and institutions working together can work toward practical solutions, mobilize humanitarian aid and new investments, and offer hope and opportunity to potential migrants for a better life.
The Partnership for Central America is an independent, nongovernmental and nonpartisan organization that was launched in May 2021 in support of the Call to Action for Central America announced by United States Vice President Kamala Harris in May 2021, working with businesses and social enterprises to make new, significant commitments to address the root causes of migration through economic opportunity in the region. In support of the Call to Action, it partners closely with the U.S. Department of State and the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID.
The partnership believes that every person and family has the right to a life of dignity, prosperity and security in their home country. Governments, businesses and civil society can work together in partnership to offer measurable hope and opportunity to the people of Central America for better lives in their homelands.
The partnership supports private sector entities through key actions:
The Partnership and Call to Action partners have mobilized $3.2 billion in investment in the region following Vice President Harris’ May 2021 Call to Action to Deepen Private Sector Investment in Central America.
In just one year since launch, investments made by partners have translated into meaningful progress:
Central America accounts for 17 percent of the estimated unauthorized immigrant population in the U.S. as of 2018, with the top three origin countries — El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras — accounting for 85 percent of the total.1 The humanitarian cost of unauthorized immigration has motivated an array of polices in the U.S. to curb its increase.
U.S. policy has been mostly focused on increasing the direct costs of unauthorized immigration. While the literature has found some static effects on immigration deterrence due to these policies,2 it has also found that stronger border protection can trigger a dynamic cycle of criminal gangs and exploitation.3 4 Therefore, an alternative would be to focus not on the direct costs of migration but the opportunity costs of these immigrants. Why are they leaving their countries? What are they leaving behind?
The literature has identified at least three important drivers for migration. First, a central force leading people out of Central America is local violence.5 Second, migrants seek better economic opportunities in a new location. In fact, even within the U.S., economists have used local fracking booms to study interstate migration.6 Not surprisingly, key drivers for the GDP of El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras are the resources sent by their diaspora abroad. In fact, remittances account typically for 10 to 20 percent of the GDP of these three countries. Thus, immigrants don’t sever their connection with their home countries; they do their best to provide for the ones they leave behind. Third, natural disasters are key drivers of migration, even within the United States, coastal cities see outflows of migration after hurricanes.7 Because Central America is in the middle of “hurricane alley” and the countries’ governments lack the resources to handle large natural disasters, it is not surprising that people losing everything in their home countries look to start anew abroad.
The Partnership for Central America aims to increase the opportunity cost of migrants to leave their countries. In fact, creating local job opportunities can reduce poverty and violence and provide the means to support a family without having to leave the country. Moreover, the focus in climate resilience can help these economies to be better prepared and endure the forces of nature such that local population does not lose everything in the event of natural disaster; moreover, climate action can help prevent the frequency of these events, providing fewer incentives for people to leave their countries.
The Darden School of Business’ Institute for Business in Society partners with Concordia and the U.S. Department of State Secretary’s Office of Global Partnerships to present the annual P3 Impact Award, which recognizes leading public-private partnerships that improve communities around the world. This year’s award will be presented at the Concordia Annual Summit the week of 19 September 2022. The five finalists will be highlighted on Darden Ideas to Action on Fridays leading up to the event.
This article was developed with the support of Darden’s Institute for Business in Society, at which Maggie Morse is director of programs.
Saffie’s research focuses on the intersection of international finance, firm dynamics and economic growth. Methodologically, he combines empirical work with quantitative theory, using granular data to understand aggregate phenomena. He has studied classical topics on international finance using micro data from emerging markets, including the effect of financial crises on productivity in Chile, the transmission of commodity fluctuations through an economy in Brazil, and the effects of financial liberalizations on the allocation of resources in Hungary. His work also examines the political influence of firms in U.S. policy and their effects on the allocation of resources.
Before joining Darden, Saffie was an assistant professor of economics at the University of Maryland.
B.S., M.Sc., Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile; Ph.D., University of Pennsylvania
The Partnership for Central America: Encouraging Economic Development